UK December CPI/RPI/PPI data now out 16 Jan

  • 3.1% prev
  • mm 0.4% vs 0.4% exp vs 0.3% prev
  • Core CPI yy 2.5% vs 2.6% exp vs 2.7% prev
  • CPIH yy 2.7% vs 2.8% exp/prev
  • RPI mm 0.8% vs 0.6% exp vs 0.2% prev
  • yy 4.1.% vs 3.9% exp/prev
  • RPI ex mortg payments yy 4.2% vs 3.9% exp vs 4.0% prev
  • Retail Price Index 278.1 vs 277.6 exp vs 275.8 prev

Core CPI and CPIH lower but GBP unfazed for the moment at 1.3770 and 0.8880. Should provide a few GBP sellers though but higher RPI will help to temper losses

Says the ONS:

  • The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CPIH) 12-month inflation rate was 2.7% in December 2017, down from 2.8% in November 2017.

  • Following a steady increase from late 2015, since April 2017 the CPIH rate has levelled off, ranging between 2.6% and 2.8%.

  • The downward effect came mainly from air fares, along with a fall in the prices of a range of recreational goods, particularly games and toys.

  • The downward contributions were partially offset by an increase in tobacco prices, reflecting duty increases that came into effect following the Autumn Budget, along with an increase in petrol and diesel prices.

Full report here

UK Core CPI yy