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Not much profit in buying high, selling higher today

By Jamie Coleman  || December 1, 2009 at 18:25 GMT
|| 9 comments || Add comment

Traders who came into the New York session with square positions have had few opportunities to profit by jumping on the prevailing uptrend in EUR/USD today. The break of 1.5100 around 16:00 GMT produced less than 20 pips of upside if your execution was perfect. Given a rise through $1200 in gold and a 2% rise in oil plus a move solidly back above 1100 in the S&P, the lack of follow-through in EUR/USD has proved a bit frustrating.

The real opportunity came yesterday afternoon when Dubai World announced its restructuring. Since then, the opportunities have been pretty sparse.

In this environment, the best one can do is hope the stale longs get bored and begin to lighten up positions, making EUR/USD cheap enough to venture a punt to the long-side. As ever, we counsel against trying to fade strength in a strong trend. Be long EUR/USD or square until the uptrend is broken. That trendline is way down at 1.4880, today.

Those with an itchy trigger finger can buy dips to 1.5070/75 with a tight stop below 1.5050.  Target 1.5145/50 initially. The best bet for medium-term players is to scale into longs on dips toward 1.4880/1.49 with a stop below 1.4850 for an eventual move to 1.5285.

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9 Responses to “Not much profit in buying high, selling higher today”

  1. pipsquanderer on December 1st, 2009 18:39 GMT

    Tired of the boring Euro. Spice up your life with cable!

  2. Jamie Coleman on December 1st, 2009 18:51 GMT

    Now I know how you chose your screen name! ;)

  3. Blackday on December 1st, 2009 19:25 GMT

    Yes but your mother chose your’s, Jamie ;)

  4. Jamie Coleman on December 1st, 2009 19:35 GMT

    True…Good thing she named my brother FatFinger before me…

  5. Blackday on December 1st, 2009 19:47 GMT

    Well it could have been worse, imagine … Gerry Coleman!

  6. lilac on December 1st, 2009 19:51 GMT

    That’s probably his second name ;)

  7. Jamie Coleman on December 1st, 2009 19:52 GMT

    I shudder to think…

  8. gerry davies on December 1st, 2009 20:11 GMT

    HAB

  9. Blackday on December 1st, 2009 20:15 GMT

    HAB? Uh oh! Who left the dark room door open?



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