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Gold fall may indicate an end to “Armageddon” trade

By Sean Lee  || March 11, 2010 at 01:00 GMT
|| 9 comments || Add comment

Financial markets are still in operation 18 months after the big GFC melt-down and it looks like some players are finally starting to exit their so-called Armageddon trades, the primary one which was long Gold. Other trades, which probably seemed like good ideas at the time, were stockpiling copper and other commodities. Good luck getting out of those!

The ultimate trade in the FX markets has been to be long the AUD and other commodity currencies against the ‘old-economy’ currencies like the EUR, GBP and the USD. They say that a currency pair always looks it’s absolute worst and most bearish right at the bottom. I must say that GBP/AUD looked very very bad yesterday. I wonder?

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9 Responses to “Gold fall may indicate an end to “Armageddon” trade”

  1. miki on March 11th, 2010 01:02 GMT

    more poop for the cable

  2. Rance San on March 11th, 2010 01:09 GMT

    well it would seem that the AUD has it’s act together and the rest of the world is trying to figure it out while they just kep getting better…

  3. simon on March 11th, 2010 01:09 GMT

    Good Morning Sean
    I must say that is some fall in pound/aussie, I think the fall in gold is a little worrying for the commodity currencies, the weekly charts in the aussie are pointing towards correction, but gee its hard to pick, as u say play the fringes.

    Simon

  4. Sean Lee on March 11th, 2010 01:11 GMT

    Thanks Simon. I must admit I couldn’t resist and have bought a small amount of cable.

  5. Rance San on March 11th, 2010 01:19 GMT

    I was going to do the same Sean, but did not give in to the temptation as I still have wounds from my last go-round witht he GBP…

  6. simao4 on March 11th, 2010 01:30 GMT

    i need to buy eur/usd or aud/usd and i am dont know who is the pairs he goes up first :D

  7. puks on March 11th, 2010 01:43 GMT

    Hi Sean, Afternoon.

    Can you please elaborate on “Armageddon” trade? sorry – I am not that familier with such terminology.

    Thanks

  8. simon on March 11th, 2010 01:57 GMT

    Good Luck to you Sean I cant bring myself to pull the trigger against that downtrend, I need some confirmation but thats me I suppose

  9. Sean Lee on March 11th, 2010 02:13 GMT

    Sorry Puks, the trade you put on if the entire financial markets cease to function. Buy gold, commodities etc.



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