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AUD/USD back above .9200

By Sean Lee  || March 16, 2010 at 21:49 GMT
|| 11 comments || Add comment

It looks as if the AUD may well have one of its bullish spurts today with the pair back above .9200 and little in the way of resistance until .9325, a level at which the RBA has intervened on two occasions. Technical support is now firming at .9050 and with such an expensive carry in play, shorts are being consistently squeezed out of the market. Buy-big-dips is still the mantra here.

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11 Responses to “AUD/USD back above .9200”

  1. hart on March 16th, 2010 22:21 GMT

    I’m so in your camp on that one Sean. I tried a short, and almost lost my shorts. Aud is pullback and buy, or pick your point above if you know where the. stops are. I picked up some pips, but could have done much better. Had I not fought the grain of the trade. It was a long night.

  2. Sean Lee on March 16th, 2010 22:28 GMT

    I agree there Hart. I tried picking tops when it was in the mid 80’s and I kept getting burnt. Since I’ve reverted to the buy-big-dip-and-hold strategy, my P/L has done a miraculous about turn. It looks to be, in this case, that the trend is our friend. Let’s just hope we can spot the turn when it invitably happens.

  3. dafx on March 16th, 2010 22:37 GMT

    I agree… don’t try to pick tops against the trend :)

  4. hart on March 16th, 2010 22:43 GMT

    Good for you Sean. I’m taking your advise. I can always add to positions on pullbacks. I think the greenback is in for a pretty sturdy slap.

  5. lilac on March 16th, 2010 22:44 GMT

    *cough*
    Well a motley crew of us did the opposite with cable a couple of weeks ago ;)

  6. DC on March 16th, 2010 23:37 GMT

    hmmm i didnt know RBA had intervened before. im a bit more nervous about going long now lol

  7. zekelogan on March 16th, 2010 23:50 GMT

    As Jamie graciously put it, they were “smoothing” price action. Smoothing = ~600pips down & back up again ;) G’Day Sean! Having a blast with USDCAD tickling my stop by 1.3 pips… broke down & bought some A$… all I want for my b-day is a winning trade ;)

  8. lilac on March 17th, 2010 00:10 GMT

    Blimey!
    Ok, well, repeat after Sean … Tabhair póg dom, táim Éireannach
    to be sure ;)

    Beannachtaí na Féile Pádraig

  9. Sean Lee on March 17th, 2010 00:23 GMT

    Well said Lilac

  10. Sean Lee on March 17th, 2010 00:26 GMT

    G’day Zac. Wish I could help but if you’re not already on these CAD, AUD or GBP upmoves then I’d leave alone and await the next golden opportunity.

  11. zekelogan on March 17th, 2010 00:33 GMT

    Yeah, I’m in denial, knowingly though. Tight stop on the A$ in case there is a pop, that’s all. Other than that, 1.0130 will kill the USDCAD. Unless there’s a rally on that, then I’ll shoot for a better exit.



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