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Risk on again, EUR/JPY the likely focus again in Asia

By   || July 20, 2009 at 21:12 GMT
|| 16 comments || Add comment

As Jamie reported in his wrap just below, there are rumoured to be some knock-outs in EUR/JPY at or around 135.00. This should ensure a fair amount of liquidity today as players defend, attack and reload. USD/JPY had a quiet session in NY, yet again, and all the volatility in EUR and GBP came during the early European rush.

I am persisting with my short cable strategy but what looked like a really good average yesterday morning now looks pretty ordinary. I’ll start getting out above 1.6600 and go hide in a corner for a few days.

Good luck today.

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16 Responses to “Risk on again, EUR/JPY the likely focus again in Asia”

  1. Burt on July 20th, 2009 21:21 GMT

    Hi Sean There will surely be some news or event that will send cable & the rest back down the scale , I hope , Im short cable as well , I would think when Japan comes in they will want to do some selling at these levels , have a great day

  2. lilac on July 20th, 2009 21:26 GMT

    Well I still share your thinking, Sean, and I’m currently short a few pips shy of where we are now.
    The NASDAQ closed having had its best run since 1998.
    Must admit, I didn’t expect the S n P to have a 6th straight day.
    Summat’s gotta give soon ;)

  3. Sean Lee on July 20th, 2009 21:31 GMT

    Morning Burt. My short term analysis forecasts a possible topping on the hourlies close to current levels. I am hoping this is correct as I hate losing trades. If it goes much above 166 then I’m going to take the hit and go look at some other trades. If this pair is really to go down then it shouldn’t be bouncing over 600 pips. Best of luck with yours Burt- 16485-16585 my range for the session.

  4. Sean Lee on July 20th, 2009 21:33 GMT

    Hi Lilac, apologies if it was me that persuaded you to have another look at shorting the cable! Have you any particular resistance levels you are watching closely?

  5. Blackday on July 20th, 2009 21:38 GMT

    HA! We all really want too go short but so far only you two have had the courage so far. @ .6634 I’ll hop in with you both.

  6. Blackday on July 20th, 2009 21:40 GMT

    I should qualify that as 30th June opening price and the start of the 7 day drop.

  7. Burt on July 20th, 2009 21:44 GMT

    With the smell of the data that I have been reading coming out of the UK . I bet Gerry wants to go short as well

  8. Sean Lee on July 20th, 2009 21:53 GMT

    Well courage is one word, but there are others! Where would you put your stop if you entered at 6634?

  9. Blackday on July 20th, 2009 21:55 GMT

    SL bove the 30 June high

  10. Blackday on July 20th, 2009 22:03 GMT

    1.6634 is the highest close we’ve seen for quite some time with the last forsy above that level failing to hold. 1.6565 I have as the .764 retracement level of the Jun high – July low.

  11. Sean Lee on July 20th, 2009 22:05 GMT

    Txs mate. If Asia sell off below 165 I’ll buy 1/2 back and try and re-sell at better levels and improve my trading mood.

  12. lilac on July 20th, 2009 22:27 GMT

    I’m actually keeping a closer eye on geppy for the moment.
    My hourly MACDs crossed down this afternoon, the stochs are sort of goin’ the right way and in an orderly fashion ;) and now the RSI’s fallen below the uptrend it knocked on just as the US closed.
    And it’s just kissed my EMA for the 1st time since Friday.
    What I’d really like to see is a fandango below the 155.30s for starters.

  13. lilac on July 20th, 2009 22:29 GMT

    Y’know – with one of those deep, dippy things :)

  14. Sean Lee on July 20th, 2009 22:42 GMT

    Beautiful trend line resistance on the weekly, still holding. I like it. Sharp fall from here to low 130s before final recovery back towards 180. No harm in dreaming.

  15. lilac on July 20th, 2009 22:50 GMT

    Well … there’s the resistance.
    Traeumerei ;)

  16. lilac on July 21st, 2009 08:19 GMT

    That’s three happy bunnies this morning then :)

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