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AUD/USD: Continues to Slide in Early London

By   || May 21, 2010 at 07:51 GMT
|| 3 comments || Add comment

AUD/USD has had a roller coaster ride today. After closing in NY at 0.8168, the pair has traded a whopping 0.8088-8373 range; near on 300 points . We now find ourselves 150 points down from the intraday high and looking decidedly ordinary.

Whilst some blame today’s move on the RBA checking prices in the Asian morning – rubbish –  the real culprit remains risk deduction. AUD/USD positions were extended across the board. AUD/JPY fell 8% at one stage yesterday and ricochet back over 4% today. Ditto EUR/AUD.

Option traders say players are covering themselves through the options market and paying up to 25% for volatilty which can normally be purchased for less than half that price.

I don’t have a firm view on where it is headed but I would be a seller on rallies near 84 cents on the expectation that a move to 85 cents would see the topside  out.

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3 Responses to “AUD/USD: Continues to Slide in Early London”

  1. pet on May 21st, 2010 07:59 GMT

    Hi Peter, didn´t hear you long time. What happened with Gerry.? Anyway, thanks for post. To buy AUD in dip seems goog idea. Thanks. Pet

  2. w on May 21st, 2010 08:12 GMT

    Very useful commentary.

    Many thanks.

  3. Solange on May 21st, 2010 08:20 GMT

    Sean, at the present moment, the 15- and 30-minute MACD of the AUD/USD is a “textbook” classic example of when to short a currency. When you have a spare moment, please admire the ongoing carnage and inform all of us loyal readers when/where the RBA might “ring around”, potential derailing the ongoing profitability of “this afternoon’s” short festival.

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