Top
New York  London  GMT  Tokyo  Sydney 

If you think today was bad, tomorrow’ll be worse

By   || May 27, 2010 at 18:16 GMT
|| 34 comments || Add comment

Liquidity will go from bad today to worse tomorrow. It looks as though much of the month-end requirements have been disposed of today, but in thin markets tomorrow, we could still see frantic volatility.

Technically, it looks as though risk markets are trying to take a turn for the better. AUD, EUR, EUR/JPY…all look like they have bottomed or are close to it.

Traders are struggling with whether to ignore the calendar and believe the charts or  wait out the weekend and see where the dust settles early next week. That’s a very tough call, and each will have to make it on one’s own.

1.2416 and 1.2445 are next resistance levels for EUR/USD while 1.2340/45 i s support on dips.

113.20 is next resistance in the ballistic missile known as EUR/JPY. 91.03 is the 200-day Moving average in USD/JPY…

Share and Enjoy:
  • RSS
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LinkedIn
  • email
  • Print
  • Add to favorites
  • del.icio.us
  • Digg
  • NewsVine
  • StumbleUpon

Add a comment

34 Responses to “If you think today was bad, tomorrow’ll be worse”

  1. Loouise on May 27th, 2010 18:22 GMT

    So will Asia sell off E/J today as well ??? lol

  2. Stephen on May 27th, 2010 18:30 GMT

    well it’s broken above some of that good resistance of the last week, so I doubt they will be as eager to sell

  3. Fluffy Fox on May 27th, 2010 18:31 GMT

    Oil is nearly back up to “normal” 75 USD. Perhaps we are in for a period of normality?

  4. Bear on May 27th, 2010 18:33 GMT

    yep fluffy, funny how that oil pipeline got blown up right around the lows

  5. Bear on May 27th, 2010 18:41 GMT

    DE +5.4%

  6. Dennis on May 27th, 2010 18:43 GMT

    Well after all Italian PM Silvio Berlusconi is quoted as saying that the “unified EU response has defeated speculative attack on the EUR.”

  7. Bear on May 27th, 2010 18:51 GMT

    maybe he is still in shock after being beaten with a plaster cathedral model

  8. Trading Nymph on May 27th, 2010 19:03 GMT
  9. Umar Dar on May 27th, 2010 19:08 GMT

    US money supply plunges at 1930s pace as Obama eyes fresh stimulus
    The M3 money supply in the United States is contracting at an accelerating rate that now matches the average decline seen from 1929 to 1933, despite near zero interest rates and the biggest fiscal blitz in history.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/7769126/US-money-supply-plunges-at-1930s-pace-as-Obama-eyes-fresh-stimulus.html

    Plz can we have more comments and thoughts on the subject and what will be its implication on Eur and GBP

  10. lilac on May 27th, 2010 19:09 GMT

    Was he in the buff then too, Bear?

  11. Trading Nymph on May 27th, 2010 19:11 GMT

    Umar, I saw that article last night………Also I am going to repost that link, It isn’t working above, It’s a piece about review of Stimulus Loans in China, if it doesn’t link again you could go to Shanghai Daily and click their Business Part http://www.shanghaidaily.com/article/?id=438400&type=Business

  12. Bear on May 27th, 2010 19:15 GMT

    naa thankfully not

  13. Jamie Coleman on May 27th, 2010 19:20 GMT

    Umar– The market has been transfixed by the notion that the US is printing dollars faster than the ink can dry on the bills…Now M3 is collapsing? I don’t know,,,just don’t know…

  14. Fluffy Fox on May 27th, 2010 19:23 GMT

    If the article is true, EUR/USD 1.45 is on the cards.

  15. Bear on May 27th, 2010 19:25 GMT

    check under the mattress JC, thats where it will be

  16. Corey on May 27th, 2010 19:41 GMT

    Do you think EURGBP is near the bottom?

  17. Umar Dar on May 27th, 2010 19:47 GMT

    Thanks Trading Nymph, but i do not understand what that means. Please explain in details the consequences of this in future months and years in your words…..

    Jamie, If M3 get really bad wont that be helped by further QE and if so subsequently wont that effect in the decline of USD

    Fluffy Fox this article is very true and is buzzing around in papers and blogs and forum. But no one talk about its resulting effect. May be most analyst will talk about it once its in the main stream media talking about it and so on.

  18. Jamie Coleman on May 27th, 2010 19:49 GMT

    Fed has not looked at M3 in years…Not sure they are going to start now…

  19. Fluffy Fox on May 27th, 2010 19:52 GMT

    Umar. If it is true (and relevant of course Jamie), it means the US needs either another cut in interest rates, or a very substantial extra tranche of QE to what they are using already to give the economy the boost it needs. Both actions will have similar effects.

  20. JR on May 27th, 2010 19:58 GMT

    re: forex broker. can anyone recommend a good forex broker to trade fx with? i’ve lost faith in my broker as their quotes system (and limit trades) have gone down twice this week, and the past few months have seen a series of questionable stops at the outside edge of ranges. as far as i’m concerned cliff barnes runs the joint. perhaps they should spend as much on their operations as they do on their tv marketing, but as long as they give me my money when i decide to cash in my chips i’m happy. but i’m done with them. please advise, thanks in advance. jrforex@hotmail.com

  21. Jamie Coleman on May 27th, 2010 20:24 GMT

    ‘m a little biased, but FXDD seems to have a solid rep among the guys on the site who use them…I’m more than a little biased, actually…

  22. Stephen on May 27th, 2010 20:30 GMT

    What i don’t like about FXDD is that they don’t fill you at market when coming in on a weekend… for instant if you went long Fri afternoon at 1.25 with a tp at 1.26 and market opens at 1.27 – you get filled at 1.26. With Forex.com I get filled at opening bid – so 1.27. Maybe you know why FXDD doesn’t do this Jamie?

  23. Cheg on May 27th, 2010 20:36 GMT

    I don’t know about FXDD but generaly speaking I would say: Biased, Jamie ?! naaaa..loooool ;)

  24. Stephen on May 27th, 2010 20:46 GMT

    i like the new pic Cheg

  25. lilac on May 27th, 2010 20:48 GMT

    Do they do the same with your stop, Stephen?

  26. Cheg on May 27th, 2010 20:54 GMT

    I don’t know what pic appears now.. is it the bear, the wolf, the black swan or just the old cheg (all very dangerous creatures when angry) ? lol

  27. lilac on May 27th, 2010 20:55 GMT

    Hard to say – they all look the same to me :P

  28. Cheg on May 27th, 2010 20:59 GMT

    damn all these efforts… :)

  29. lilac on May 27th, 2010 21:03 GMT

    Meant to ask though – can I call you Beaky now? ;)

  30. Stephen on May 27th, 2010 21:22 GMT

    FXDD fills you at the open when gapping negative, not your stop. Forex.com fills at theopen too, just like the limit. My guess is FXDD is secretly trying to make back lost money on their “fixed spread”.

  31. GreenKnight on May 27th, 2010 22:31 GMT

    Which one are you using JR? I have experienced the same thing this week

  32. AC-Milan’s “Catenaccio” & La-Scala’s “Bel-Canto”. When Both Italian Cultures Are Dying… Why Don’t Italian Kids Open Real Debate After 2010 World Cup? Meanwhile, Eternal Absolutist Berlusconi Had Better Whisper Into His Coach’s Ear In on May 28th, 2010 12:57 GMT

    [...] ANALYSIS-Italy budget will meet targets, hurt Berlusconi May 27, 2010 / By Forexyard If you think today was bad, tomorrow’ll be worse May 27, 2010 / By ForexLive [...]

  33. Don’t say you weren’t warned… | ForexLive on May 28th, 2010 13:41 GMT

    [...] By Jamie Coleman  || May 28, 2010 at 13:41 GMT || 0 comments || Add comment We warned yesterday that today’s market wouldn’t be fit for man nor beast (except Bear, [...]

  34. PART-6: AC-Milan Only Have €30M To Spend Compared To Inter’s €100M. UEFA Sets New Rules? What Is The Most Profitable Business For “La Voce dei Rossoneri”, When “Football World & Italy” Are On The Brink Of Bankruptcy? « The Art on July 11th, 2010 16:02 GMT

    [...] ANALYSIS-Italy budget will meet targets, hurt Berlusconi May 27, 2010 / By Forexyard If you think today was bad, tomorrow’ll be worse May 27, 2010 / By ForexLive [...]

Bottom