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CEBR urges Greece to bolt the euro

By   || May 30, 2010 at 15:23 GMT
|| 29 comments || Add comment

It’s only a matter of time, says the think-tank.

So much political capital is now invested in keeping the euro together, I don’t see this happening anytime soon. The impact on the banks would be catastrophic as well. Expect the EU, IMF, and anyone with a credit card to be asked to pony up to keep this house of cards standing…

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29 Responses to “CEBR urges Greece to bolt the euro”

  1. Ophir Chador on May 30th, 2010 15:36 GMT

    “Expect the EU, IMF, and anyone with a credit card to be asked to pony up to keep this house of cards standing…”

    I just wish there weren’t so many credit cards in the U.S.. Got a felling that our IMF contribution is just the beginning. Then again, we may need to pony up for our own banks if credit strains don’t start easing…

  2. zekelogan on May 30th, 2010 16:39 GMT

    The Onassis family could pony up a bit, no? ;)

  3. JonG on May 30th, 2010 17:05 GMT

    If it does happen, why is it necessarily a euro negative? I mean, if the weakest link is removed the overall union should be stronger, or? If the rest of the PIGS leave, again it’s the weaker members departing leaving the strongest.

  4. Bill on May 30th, 2010 17:19 GMT

    This is a bit old, but apparently tax evasion is a cultural norm in Greece: http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/15/world/europe/15greece.html

  5. Bear on May 30th, 2010 17:26 GMT

    any bets on where Eur is going to open in Asia

  6. Stephen on May 30th, 2010 17:37 GMT

    My guess is we open around 2190 or 2200 and Asia takes it directly down to the big fibo for a real test.

  7. Ophir Chador on May 30th, 2010 18:16 GMT

    It could get ugly with US markets closed tomorrow. A heavy selloff in Asia would fill the order books with sell orders for the Tuesday open — for equities, that is. The bottom line, if it’s ugly in Asia, watch out for the US open…

    As for the euro, I’m not sure where it will open, but I got a feeling we’ll be flirting with the 1.20 handle this week. If intervention’s coming, it will come then…

  8. long on May 30th, 2010 18:30 GMT

    MARKET OPENS, EUR/USD –1.2316

  9. AK on May 30th, 2010 18:47 GMT
  10. Tony Piliotis on May 30th, 2010 19:01 GMT

    Good morning, does anyone have an early indication on EUR/USD ?

  11. Talal on May 30th, 2010 19:06 GMT

    what is the opening on eur/jpy

  12. long on May 30th, 2010 19:08 GMT

    1.2254 – EUR/USD IN OANDA

  13. Tony Piliotis on May 30th, 2010 19:11 GMT

    Thxs Long

  14. Blackday on May 30th, 2010 19:13 GMT

    EURUSD chart … I think it might be trying to tell us something?:- http://www.pict.com/view/3578072/0/eususdspotofbother

  15. long on May 30th, 2010 19:15 GMT

    IT ASKS FOR “HELP”

  16. Talal on May 30th, 2010 19:17 GMT

    do you see it tumbling down below the 1.2160 level

  17. lilac on May 30th, 2010 19:18 GMT

    Ahh – eurusd’s pot of bother ;)

  18. Blackday on May 30th, 2010 19:23 GMT

    Funny girl … ;)

  19. long on May 30th, 2010 19:23 GMT

    EUR/USD IS GOING TO RETEST EARLIER HIGH 1.2696 THIS WEEK. MARKET IS USED TO ALL BAD NEWS ABOUT EURO, HENCE WILL NOT REACT NEGATIVLEY THIS WEEK

  20. lilac on May 30th, 2010 19:26 GMT

    Got a rumbly tumbly ;)

  21. zekelogan on May 30th, 2010 19:56 GMT
  22. Bear on May 30th, 2010 20:27 GMT

    1.2258/71 first up

  23. Loouise on May 30th, 2010 20:28 GMT

    Interesting that we aren’t getting the usual inter-bank massive moves….EurJpy is exactly where it ended Friday

  24. JAKE on May 30th, 2010 20:45 GMT

    Hey LONG, You also stated last tuesday that fiber would crash down to 1.20. That did not happen. Why would you be right this time to 1.2696???

  25. Bear on May 30th, 2010 20:45 GMT

    lou, way too early for a eurjpy price. usdjpy 90.95/91.02 eur 1.2269/71

  26. Loouise on May 30th, 2010 20:50 GMT

    Bear, I understand…it’s just that normally if it was going to fall thru, it would have shown some pre-market inclinations. It is actually up from Friday close which does not look too bearish at the moment

  27. Fluffy Fox on May 30th, 2010 22:38 GMT

    Maybe not so interesting story, since very many analysts expect EUR/USD parity or below within 18 months – so Greece will get the devaluation it needs as mentioned in the article. Until then the ECB can keep Greece on the drip-feed it requires – an extra year on demand deflation in Greece isn’t going to make a whole lot of difference. Spain will be looking forward to devaluation too it seems.
    Now do we get another bout of US deflation panic/fannie mae housing crisis (part 2) re-emerging before then?

  28. Kostas on June 2nd, 2010 04:45 GMT

    Maybe not so interesting story, since very many analysts expect EUR/USD parity or below within 18 months – so Greece will get the devaluation it needs as mentioned in the article.”

    What devaluation if most of tourists transaction and trade is done with EURO from Euro countries?

  29. PIP COLLECTOR on June 2nd, 2010 05:27 GMT

    we are almost there in the bottom of eur/usd downtrend. may be one more leg down to 1.17/8. so dont ever dream for parity

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