Top
New York  London  GMT  Tokyo  Sydney 

AUD finds support from AUD/NZD short-covering

By   || July 28, 2010 at 22:33 GMT
|| 5 comments || Add comment

AUD/USD has again stalled just above .8900 and has popped up 20 pips as AUD/NZD shorts cover  post-RBNZ.

The events of yesterday and today tell us a lot about how the FX market functions. It’s the expectation of events rather than the event itself which moves the market. The AUD was strong in expectation of a high CPI figure and therefore more rate rises. AUD/NZD was aggressively sold yesterday after the weaker CPI and in the almost 100% knowledge that the RBNZ would hike. Yet when the RBNZ raise rates by 25bps, the NZD gets sold aggressively. Why, because the expectation is now that they won’t hike for another few months at the earliest.

No wonder market participants are so keen to spread rumours.

Share and Enjoy:
  • RSS
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LinkedIn
  • email
  • Print
  • Add to favorites
  • del.icio.us
  • Digg
  • NewsVine
  • StumbleUpon

Add a comment

5 Responses to “AUD finds support from AUD/NZD short-covering”

  1. Killer-B on July 28th, 2010 23:41 GMT

    Strangest thing I’d ever seen…. Must have wiped out loads of shorts!? as it did come in as forecasted – this just made no sense to me! Believe it or not, I was long AUD/NZD at the time trying to sort a way out – and 100 pips later, couldn’t believe my eyes!

  2. zekelogan on July 28th, 2010 23:47 GMT

    Impulse moves, corrective moves & wtf moves ;)

  3. Sean Lee on July 29th, 2010 00:01 GMT

    Why the face (wtf) according to Phil from Modern Family (classic show)

  4. Killer-B on July 29th, 2010 00:14 GMT

    WTF LOL :) Good one…. both! :)

  5. david on July 29th, 2010 00:22 GMT

    Yes, my short was taken out (sob). I should have known better given Bollard’s record for talking down the kiwi. 0-2 for me versus AUD/NZD. Don’t think I’ll touch that one for a while. Quite a big gap on the chart though.

Bottom