Top
New York  London  GMT  Tokyo  Sydney 

Risk on or off? Have a look at AUD/CHF

By   || September 3, 2010 at 01:06 GMT
|| 5 comments || Add comment

There can surely be no currency pair which gives a better indication of how the market is assessing the risk trade than AUD/CHF. If China is booming, the world economic prospects seem good and the AUD is rallying. If doom-and-gloom are preoccupying peoples thoughts, then the CHF is rallying.

audchfwklyA quick look at the long-term AUD/CHF chart shows that risk in general has been back in favour since March 2008 but it took a turn in May this year. The 38.2% retracement of the big upmove came in at .8925 and that has proven to be good support thus far. If we break back below there then risk would seem to be off again and we could fall as far as .8150 when the risk trades should find new support. If the .8925 recent low and and now trendline support were to hold firm, then we should be looking to a major rally in all risk trades over the next few months.

Definitely a pair at least worth watching if not trading.

Share and Enjoy:
  • RSS
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LinkedIn
  • email
  • Print
  • Add to favorites
  • del.icio.us
  • Digg
  • NewsVine
  • StumbleUpon

Add a comment

5 Responses to “Risk on or off? Have a look at AUD/CHF”

  1. Alex on September 3rd, 2010 01:29 GMT

    Since AUD/CHF is at a fairly high level and it does sell off to .81, will the opposite reaction happen in USD/CHF since its around a all time low?

  2. Simon on September 3rd, 2010 01:49 GMT

    and eurchf is also playing to this theory, AUD also looks lofty at 91ish cant help but think it being kept there ahead of bad NFP tonight ready for a sell

  3. Loouise on September 3rd, 2010 01:59 GMT

    Check out Kiwi 2 hour charts — it is now finding support on the 200SMA — this thing has been trending upwards very nicely…..

  4. Loouise on September 3rd, 2010 02:05 GMT

    Next resistance on AudJpy is approx 78.50 on the daily charts – look out for the 100 SMA — enjoy!!

  5. Michael Miller on September 3rd, 2010 03:30 GMT

    77.33, is the next area of daily trend resistance. Current price, hasn’t even gotten through the 50 day moving average yet! Good grief. I’m hittin’ the sack after a few chillies. Good luck and good night.

Bottom