• Greek banks have been resilient, have maintained adequate capitalisation
  • Convinced Greece has made significant accomplishments in 2010
  • Wavering political support for reforms has increased uncertainty
  • Since the end of 2010 implementation of reform process has lost momentum, country at crossroads

Kinda started OK and then went downhill somewhat…….

  • Privatisation is crucial, asset sales should begin without delay
  • Reforms need new energy, effectiveness
  • Greece’s EU partners need to speak with one voice (that would be a first)
  • Greek banks should increase further capital cushions
  • Does not favour sovereign restructuring scenario
  • Public sector needs to exit Greek banking system, consolidation necessary
  • IMF, EU will continue supporting Greece if programme fully implemented
  • Stretching out Greek payment terms is reasonable to think about
  • Not sure that debt restructuring process can be easily controlled
  • EU summit in June needs to crack some hard nuts, then IMF will be ready to disburse further tranche

Crikey, this chap’s enjoying his moment in the spotlight.