End of month flows expected to be significant

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Equity markets are expected to be busy today with portfolio adjustments taking place and last-minute corporate flows in the FX market.

  • USD/JPY: Opposing flows here with Japanese corporates selling USD/JPY but asset managers expected to be net buyers; overall expected to be mildly net negative for USD/JPY
  • Yen crosses: Mainly to be driven by corporate flows and so expected to be net negative especially in EUR/JPY
  • AUD/USD: Asset managers and real money accounts will be net sellers today but well reported buying interest, Sovereign and corporate, below .9675.
  • EUR/USD: As above, asset managers and real money accounts are expected to be net sellers today


All|Asia Pacific|Forex Orders


Sean Lee


  1. How are the flows expected to be for GBPUSD?

  2. Sean, quick question. I have been doing a lot better on my trading this year, my biggest problem now is not letting the winners run. Looking back at my account, I see that my ‘tp’ is often not hit and I close the trade out and it matches upto daily ATR … So in other words, I see the end of session bounce and subconsciously think I see a reversal so I close the trade … only to let it run further and then try and re-enter on a bounce …

    As I said, I saw USDX consolidating above the Sunday open so I closed my longs and went short, but after we broke lows I closed.

    I guess where I am getting at, what do you think is the #1 rule for TP? Only thing I can think to do is to move SL to above highs/lows and put on a trailing stop or stop at the highs/lows.

    It is just pissing me off, because SEVERAL trades of mine over the past year I would close out for 40-70ish pips only to see the trade run for a few more days.

  3. Hi Mike, I have my own particular opinion here that many may not agree with. I think the mistake many traders make is that they do not trade in multiple lots ie they take a position and then its either a winner or loser, nothing else. Even small accts can scale down and trade mini lots these days. Then by building into a position, if it moves 70 pips in your favour, you can book 40% of profits whilst maintaining the core trade idea. This improves ones psychological state of mind as well as giving you a better ‘feel’ for the mkt imho. Half the battle is certainly getting in at the right level but as you rightly say, its what happens after you get into a good position that is the really important part

  4. Hi Jason, I’d expect tham to be overall negative with asset managers selling UK shares/buying US shares, and Japanese corps selling GBP/JPY? That would be my best guess, but remember it is the 31st already so most biz will have been done and only the late and desperate still to come to the party


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