It’s the noisiest day of the quadrennial

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Given the the rise of blogs, and more recently, social networks, US elections have become extremely noisy even before the ballots are counted.

Expect rumors to begin to swirl around mid-afternoon in the US as the first of the exit polls begin to make their way to the networks and the campaigns.

In 2004, early exit polls showed John Kerry winning the election in a walk. We all know how that worked out.

When the polls finally do close, Virginia and Pennsylvania will be the early focus of the electoral map. If Obama wins Virgina, he will very likely win the election. If Romney wins Virginia by 3-4 points, he has an excellent shot to run the table in the swing states.

Buckle up. It’s gonna be an interesting day.

2012-11-06T13:09:29+0000

All|Americas|Politics|Regions

US economy

Jamie Coleman

6 Comments

  1. I am hoping Mitt wins….this will accelerate America’s race to the bottom, you deserve him since you have learned nothing, the docs on this guy is awesome, The looting under Romney will hard and fast, the global oligarchs know this and want him in, Obama is not playing ball anymore. Bibi did not get his war, i am predicting a 911 type false flag attack in his first year in office. I wonder if Mitt will bring his cuban/russian/bond girlfriend along too. lol

  2. for what its worth… its Mitt

  3. Have been standing in line in Florida for 2 hours to vote for Obama.

  4. Hi Jamie & Happy Election Day! I’ve updated the latest polls in 11 battIe ground swing states and on average Obama is leading by a spread of 2.19% in 9 states with 102 electoral votes and Romney is ahead in 2 states (Florida & No Carolina) with 44 electoral votes. Since Obama has 201 safe electoral votes in his safe blue states and Romney has 191 safe electoral votes in his safe red states, it implies a total of 303 electoral votes for Obama and 235 for Romney. I’m not doing anything special like weighting the latest polls against earlier polls….. just taking the latest polls. No rocket science here.

    That said, to the extent that a 2.19% spread in Obama’s favor represents an accurate reflection of voter sentiment in these states today on election day, it also implies that Romney will have a hard time making up the difference. The reason why is because it correlates with the roughly 2% average of votes cast for Ron Paul in these swing states in this year’s primaries and caucuses compared with the total votes cast in these states in the 2008 presidential election. I believe a majority of those people will vote for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, but virtually none of them will vote for Romney.

  5. A lively Asian session is guaranteed. It seems that midnight to 1:00 GMT could be the most exciting hours, with Florida, Virginia Ohio, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania.

  6. Hi Jamie, its a landslide for Obama I’ve been listening to voters being interviewed on the BBC and there doesn’t seem to be hardly anybody voting for Romney lol, atvb Chris2

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