June trade balance, +$247m

  • expected 100m, prior was 285m

June exports, 4.20bn

  • expected 4.25bn, prior was 4.60bn

June imports, 3.95bn

  • expected 4.10bn, prior was 4.32bn

The big news this morning has already happened: Reserve Bank of New Zealand cash rate announcement – rate hike of 0.25%

Now we watch the data on the countdown to the next rate hike: Hello NZD. Please stay on the line, your tightening cycle has been placed on hold and will be resumed shortly (maybe March)

Both exports and imports are lower than expected, keeping the slight weakening in the data theme in NZ going.

From Statistics New Zealand:

  • Exports growth seen in late 2013 was driven by rising dairy prices
  • Falling dairy values this quarter contributed to a fall in total exports
  • Goods exports were up $5.5 billion to $51.2 billion from the June 2013 year. This increase was almost entirely driven by milk powder, butter, and cheese. For the same period, goods imports were up $3.5 billion to $50.0 billion. The trade balance for the year ended June 2014 was a surplus of $1.2 billion (2.3 percent of exports).
  • seasonally adjusted value of goods exported fell 7.4 percent to $12.4 billion in the June 2014 quarter
  • Seasonally adjusted imports increased 0.5 percent ($66 million)