The US dollar was the top performer this week, edging out the surprisingly strong euro. The Canadian and Australian dollars were the laggards.

FX performance this week

FX performance this week vs USD

Taking a look at the AUD/USD weekly chart, the pair touched the lowest in two months after failing to break 0.9500 again last week.

AUDUSD weekly chart

AUDUSD weekly

I don’t see much scope for a rebound. The RBA meets on August 5 and that will be the main event in the week ahead along with the Aussie retail sales report.

Look for some jawboning and a fall to the 55-week moving average near 0.9200.