Wow!

Dan Murray posted this in the comments here

Awesome stuff, thank-you Dan:

(For those trading through or right after the release…) From January 2012 through March 2014, the AUDUSD moved higher (lower) by an average of .11% for each 10,000 above (below) expectations from just before through 60 minutes after the announcement. This (as measured by r-squared) explains about 73% of the AUDUSD’s movement after the announcement (which is much higher than for most economic releases). The price has almost always been within .30% of this “target,” and including data going back to 2009 would yield similar results. Also, I personally think that we may see a slightly larger reaction than normal to any surprise this time around. Good luck!

(My preview is here: Preview – Australian employment report due today)