S&P has lowered Russia’s sovereign credit rating to below investment grade.

Looks like bathtub vodka is back on the menu.

The Russian ruble doesn’t like it.

USDRUB daily

USD/RUB daily

USD/RUB is up 3% since the announcement. Before the announcement it was also up 3%, which is awfully suspicious.

Russia looked like it might stabilize around New Years but oil remains in the doldrums and the weekend attack on Mariupol certainly won’t help international relations.