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  • foxtrader : Vote: Who do you think will win the World Cup?

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    foxtrader: I told earlier to brazil vs Germany match that Germany is going to win that match and will meet Argentina in the finals but final will be won by Argentina. :-) - July 12th, 2014 03:27:54 AM
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    rouge trader: i voted up Argentina by 2% Carousel voting? I think Argentina will win becos Fair play is more of a German thing. - July 11th, 2014 09:59:45 PM
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    TimTim: The Netherlands - July 11th, 2014 09:36:46 PM
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    Gabriel: Germany, as I told from the begging :) - July 11th, 2014 07:19:23 PM
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    Krishna: Germany... Cheers Week end to all Forex Live - July 11th, 2014 06:23:28 PM
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    Adam Button: Thanks for the feedback, I think we can halt that put it might cause some other problems. - July 11th, 2014 06:11:11 PM
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    tester: little bug maybe : It looks like we can vote several times and the vote counts each time. :) - July 11th, 2014 05:57:18 PM
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    Arnoldas: Nice feature and have a great wknd all FXL team. P.S. I voted for Germany :) - July 11th, 2014 05:54:39 PM
  • TR : "Is Australia due for a recession?"

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    TR: Thanks Eamonn, nice succinct review of last quarter-of-century policies/conditions and level headed conclusions (if a bit on the optimistic side, but that's good for balance). - July 12th, 2014 01:21:02 AM
  • TR : China warns Australia ... Xinhua says if Australia makes itself the enemy its development outlook may not be optimistic

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    TR: Remember that "doom and gloom" piece about Australia published by Russia Today, that Ryan brought up? I then suggested that the publication may be at least partially politically motivated. And look, turns out also Russia's fresh BFF China is sincerely worried about the outlook Australia's economy ;) - July 12th, 2014 12:37:36 AM
  • Lproject92 : CFTC Commitments of Traders: CAD bears go into hibernation

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    Lproject92: Hi Adam :) are you playing the Aud from the long side !? I'm trading the aud/usd and would appreciate your input as usual. Have a wicked weekend my friend. I learn a lot from you over here in London :D. - July 11th, 2014 08:44:00 PM
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    Adam Button: Tough one, things could get dicey in Japan. Still, I'll take the upside. - July 11th, 2014 07:58:07 PM
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    Steve: whats is your outlook on AUDJPY for the next 4 months please Adam? - July 11th, 2014 07:51:59 PM
  • Adam Button : Technical analysis: USD/CAD higher after jobs report, targets

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    Adam Button: I don't have a strong opinion on USD/CAD, I was short but now I'm sidelined and hoping for a bigger bounce - July 11th, 2014 07:08:33 PM
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    sunny: Adam, did you see Ryan's last chart on this post? I like his last chart as its similar to mine :) http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2014/07/11/will-the-jobs-report-keep-the-hawks-out-of-the-bank-of-canada-or-will-inflation-rule-the-roost-11-july-2014/ I've taken a short up here where the previous descending support line may be resistance. Holding over the weekend and possibly into BOC next week. - July 11th, 2014 07:01:15 PM
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    Fandy: hello Adam, I'm very glad to see the long green bar in eurcad today. Also big thanks to you for your analyse in Cad's rebound few days ago About the eurcad and usdcad, do you think it will be further rebound? today technically it hit important resistance for the bear market, but with the dove in fed and trouble in Portuguese bank, what do you think about that? I can't wait to see your wonderful thoughts - July 11th, 2014 05:01:56 PM
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    Manav: Thanks for the analysis. Btw by mistake USD/JPY has been written instead of USD/CAD at the beginning of this analysis...;) "USD/JPY is at a fresh session high of 1.0723 and the....." - July 11th, 2014 03:32:36 PM
  • ib : How about some increased geopolitical tension ahead of the weekend as Ukraine warns of bloodshed?

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    ib: It seems the current regime in Kiev has been and can be termed more, say, Nazi than say democratic in nature: "For starters, Andriy Parubiy, the new secretary of Ukraine's security council, was a co-founder of the Neo-Nazi Social-National Party of Ukraine (SNPU), otherwise known as Svoboda. And his deputy, Dmytro Yarosh, is the leader of a party called the Right Sector which, according to historian Timothy Stanley, "flies the old flag of the Ukrainian Nazi collaborators at its rallies."" http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-hughes/the-neo-nazi-question-in_b_4938747.html - July 11th, 2014 06:31:32 PM
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    JackMc: ib, The government of Ukraine, like any other government, has the right to put down insurrections and protect its sovereignty. Comparing this to Nazi Germany is just hyperbole. As president, Washington sent troops to put down the Whiskey Rebellion and Lincoln sent troops to the American South when those states seceded. Every government does this - Ukraine is just doing what any country would. BTW, have you considered the fact that there are millions in Eastern Ukraine loyal to Kiev? Are you aware that they don't like the rebels and have no desire to be part of Russia? It seems you see only one side of the story. Maybe you should stop reading pro-Putin propaganda. - July 11th, 2014 05:31:37 PM
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    ib: @Clinton "Putin started sending Russians and tanks into another country". This dispute is internal to the Ukraine - with a lot of interference from the EU and the U.S., the country is on the border with Russia but there has been no Russian incursions thus far. Do some further reading on this issue. There's lots of information out there. You never know you might learn something. This threat by the Ukranians to kill lots of 'rebels' (ie. people living in the Eastern part of the country who are not happy with the current Kiev leaders and seek independence) is reminiscent of policies in Nazi Germany. One German killed led to the execution of 10 civilians in occupied Europe. - July 11th, 2014 04:29:19 PM
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    Ryan Littlestone: How is it biased politics? I don't give a toss either way except in hoping that people don't lose their lives. Maybe writing "further bloodshed" in the headline would appease you? - July 11th, 2014 04:00:12 PM
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    Clinton Dawkins: Then why did you leave you the context, Ryan? "the government suffered a severe setback early Friday when a Ukrainian unit manning a checkpoint in the Luhansk region suffered heavy casualties after coming under fire from rebel-fired Grad rocket systems—a truck-mounted, multiple rocket launcher whose name means "hail" in Russian—near the town of Zelenopillya, officials said. Vladislav Seleznyov, the chief spokesman for the operation against the rebels, said the government had lost 19 troops and four border guards in fighting around the area on Friday, and 93 others had been hurt." This was why the president said what he said. I didn't come to ForexLive to read biased politics. I come here for information. - July 11th, 2014 03:39:37 PM
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    Ryan Littlestone: Welcome back Petar, the spam filter has missed you awfully ;-) :-D - July 11th, 2014 02:54:31 PM
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    Ryan Littlestone: So you're matching one prior comment, from one moment in time, to this story weeks later, and fail to pick up on the sarcasm also? - July 11th, 2014 02:53:04 PM
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    Moonman: Ahem...just as with Serbia, one needs to look a little further back in time to understand the true nature of the relationship between Ukraine and Russia, and by that I mean a looooooonnng way back to the time of the origins of both nations. However, if we want to be modern in our approach I believe that viewpoint ought to start with the pre-Revolutionary Tsarist sunset, move on through the pogroms against the Jews throughout Russia, Ukraine and Poland pushing the exiles ever further into the west, add the accompanying intellectual Socialist movement into the picture, opposed by a devolved anti-Semitism become full-blown Nazism , a prolonged and vicious civil war between the Red and White (aided by foreign interventionists) armies, followed by an even more barbarous genocidal clash between two totalitarian states... Find out which side much of Ukraine stood on throughout all of this and you'll see why the Russians don't want to play nice! Just another way of seeing things, that's all... - July 11th, 2014 02:27:35 PM
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    Friendly bear: Clinton, Russia has not sent a single tank into Ukraine. That is a fact. Had it done so, they would've been rolling the streets of Kiev in about 48 hours. - July 11th, 2014 02:21:17 PM
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    ib: Diplomacy alive and well? Not. Good commentary. Glad to see the entire world is not barking mad. Sane commentary is hard to come by, well done. I read somewhere that IMF loans to the Ukraine are CONDITIONAL on the Ukraine 'pacifying' the rebel areas in the East, which can only mean violence. More carnage is sure to follow. The Russians, reportedly, expect the violence to continue and have suggested that when the East of Ukraine is 'pacified' then the Ukraine is likely to attempt to take back Crimea by force. Which would essentially mean an attack on what is now RUSSIA: a direct attack on Russia, which is not likely to end well. - July 11th, 2014 02:15:04 PM
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    Petar Nikolov: Guess I'm going contrarian then. Buy EURJPY. On a different note (I'm not considering Ukraine in the WTI case, a lot more external factors need to come in play first) , added more WTI buy limits at 101.4. Last two weeks have been pain but I'm fading that drop till it gets me. Still, good average but getting quite heavy. Holiday was good, but was feeling dead bored by the end and sorry for making sure I'm away from the markets during. Maybe that actually saves me a buck, after all :D - July 11th, 2014 02:05:28 PM
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    Clinton Dawkins: Please, Ryan, you're better than this. First you claimed that no blood had been spilled in Ukraine. Now that killing season is open, you want diplomacy? That train left the station when Putin started sending Russians and tanks into another country. - July 11th, 2014 01:53:54 PM
  • proecotrading.com : Bond dealers see Fed hiking cycle topping at 3.50%

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    proecotrading.com: I think the economy should do better, without resources allocated to mature companies and housing. Imagine if the Fed had bought bonds of candy bar cellphone companies or pets.com. The economy would grow faster after they stopped. The Fed's mandate is price stability and full employment, not economic growth. Lowering real wages and propping up sagging product prices does not tend to catch fire. The US does have a young workforce and capital-intensive industries such as natural resources and aircraft. So it should be easier to get inflation than Japan or France, even if harder than Brazil or Canada. - July 11th, 2014 06:05:16 PM
  • zandinga : GBP/USD eyeing a break or another opportunity for the scalpers?

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    zandinga: Buying 1,7100 and sell 1,7140 is a trade by the rules! Buy because it's the major trend and the 1,7100 don't need to explain... Nice weekend for all! :) - July 11th, 2014 05:59:23 PM
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    koorosh: Thanks Ryan. - July 11th, 2014 03:28:21 PM
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    Ryan Littlestone: Hey koorosh. My gut says we see it have a look lower. Cable always needs something to keep it up and when the latest data/headline has turned into chip paper then it usually sells off. The problem for shorts is the strength of the dip buyers. That will make any meaningful drops hard to come buy - July 11th, 2014 03:00:29 PM
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    koorosh: Hi Ryan, which way do you guess it goes soon finally? To lower than 1.7 or above 1.72 ? - July 11th, 2014 02:29:00 PM
  • peter macd : European stocks turn a great day into a mediocre day

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    peter macd: Good trading to you too Remo. I just finished a 50 min ride on my indoor bike to clear the crap out of my head. Yes, there are many ways to trade . I understand what you mean as none of us want to wake up and find there was some news that caused a massive opening gap. For the US indices I prefer to wait for a dip and then buy but will short as well since I don't care which side of the trade I'm on as long as it's running in the right direction. The DOW had a nice run up this morning with the DAX to 16960 then took a dive to 16860 before turning around. In general, I find more range in the indices except for moves like CAD today. Hope you have a great weekend and continued good trading! - July 11th, 2014 05:21:33 PM
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    Remo: There you are Peter macd, seen your comment earlier. Good to hear that you are doing well shorting the Indexes and long may it continue. I'm exclusively a daytrader of the US equity futures indexes so not too worried about overall direction and i NEVER leave a position running overnight (can't sleep if I do).I would use completely different set ups to your good self but each to their own and if we are all making money then even better. Good trading to you Sir. - July 11th, 2014 04:47:50 PM
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    FedRFriends: Our beloved Politburo Central Planning Committee, has today issued executive order #123456789: "Stock markets will not be allowed to fluctuate without authorisation". - July 11th, 2014 04:40:35 PM
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    peter macd: And they did dive enough to illustrate your point that Portugal wasn't the only driver. At one point about an hour ago the DAX was down at around 9620 which was also it's low yesterday. - July 11th, 2014 03:59:51 PM
  • ib : Fed's Evans says it's not a catastrophe to overshoot 2% inflation target

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    ib: Whoa !!! So now there's creeping acknowledgement that inflation is ticking higher and they (the FED) is not going to do anything about it. Rates are on hold until inflation becomes a real problem. Right. - July 11th, 2014 04:32:43 PM
  • YAR : GDP forecasts cut around the world as disappointing growth sets in

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    YAR: The components of GDP that have been lagging are driven by consumers and government. But people are getting jobs and are cautiously showing an appetite for more normal consumption growth over the last couple years. Which has led to more normal business investment, employment and net-exports. Consumer and housing credit combined look more stable and consistent with income growth. Non-government agency home lending has stopped falling. Government is shrinking itself and politics are what they are, but eventually a majority of people will find a size government they want and government spending will stop falling. I'm dubious that with natural population growth and immigration continuing to add a couple million people per year, that the "new normal" slow growth meme can be maintained with GDP growth always lagging and dissappointing. People are people and get on with life and aren't going to be shackled to a dysfunctional political and finance system. The bearish forecasters have had a good run for a few years in always talking down growth, but every chart suggests that the causes of the contraction, with the exception of government, are turning positive. It is an election year, where rhetoric and politicians have to leave Washington and meet with real people. - July 11th, 2014 04:32:28 PM
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    Tsee: If no one knows where GDP is going, how do we trade? - July 11th, 2014 03:35:43 PM
  • Don Devassy : ForexLive poll! Germany vs. Argentina in the World Cup final - who will win?

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    Don Devassy: Germany is the most eligible team to raise the cup......Argentina is nothing before great germany..Again 4-0 will be the result!!! - July 11th, 2014 04:08:46 PM
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    Gunmother: Having been successfully predicting the last seven games and winning more than 80000 AUD I can confidently say that germany will gonna win this with a comfortable victory by 4-0. Take my word for it folks - July 11th, 2014 02:17:41 PM
  • soydan : Trading Ideas - European session 11 July

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    soydan: I think it's the time to start going long in audnzd. - July 11th, 2014 04:04:45 PM
  • YAR : Fed's Plosser says Fed should raise rates before reaching its goals

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    YAR: Labor markets in part of the country are somewhat overheated while the rest has barely thawed. The regional fed presidents disagreements sort of reflect their regional differences in addition to their biases. - July 11th, 2014 03:09:02 PM
  • hello : RBA's Stevens exercises his jawbone, sees "material" fall in AUD "at some point"

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    hello: Everyone keeps talking about Australia, but it's New Zealand that should really start to worry. The whole NZD rate raise talk is soon going to turn very sour and flip into a rate cut discussion. The question, of course, is when will this happen? I imagine sooner than most people think. - July 11th, 2014 02:59:06 PM
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    eddie: Hi Adam, How Low (YOU Think) the AUD USD can go down this friday...??? Your comment is appreciated Cheers - July 11th, 2014 02:56:19 PM
  • Marko : Will the jobs report keep the hawks out of the Bank of Canada or will inflation rule the roost?

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    Marko: Adjusted to the concepts used in the United States, the unemployment rate in Canada was 6.1%, the same as the rate in the United States. PERIOD: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/140711/dq140711a-eng.htm?HPA - July 11th, 2014 02:22:35 PM
  • hello : 14 earnings reports to watch in the week ahead

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    hello: Next week should also be a big day for gbp - I am an aggressive buyer of eurgbp at these levels - it's taking a while, but I suspect that next week is when we'll finally see some action in that pair. - July 11th, 2014 02:10:21 PM
  • terry : New Zealand exports a machine that makes beer in your home ... do I need to say any more? Get your credit card out.

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    terry: Weeelll...thatlll..........b b beeee.... Gr ... Gre... Grr ate ....t to ....m mm mmake mmmmy ...oooowwwnnn...... b ba ba barrer............gggooooddd foooorrr yu yu youuuu.....k k key weee ........yu yu.... you ........ Rr Rac Rasccccle :) - July 11th, 2014 02:03:15 PM
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