The headline was a beat, but as noted before, during and after, all is not what it seems!

This via Westpac for more:

  • We will be looking through this headline figure
  • Currently, the CWD survey is not a reliable partial indicator for the national accounts
  • The CWD survey is allocating the full value of imported LNG platforms when there is a change of ownership / when the structure is imported. However, the national accounts is including the value of construction work on projects progressively, as actual work occurs - this is for both investment and for imports.
  • By way of comparison, in Q2 the CWD survey reported private infrastructure up 32%, the national accounts estimate was a -1.9%.