To kick us off, and a treat for the oil traders, private inventory data for the week is due at 4.30pm NY time, 2130 GMT.

It's a service for subscribers to the data firm, but it hits media in the minutes following. Its normally out on a Tuesday afternoon, but due to the holiday Monday in the US it'll be today

Also, due from China today ... but the timing, as is often the case with Chinese data, is ummm, 'flexible'. I expect it any time from 0200 GMT but it could be much later

Q4 GDP

and the numbers for December Retail sales, industrial production, and fixed asset investment

Q4 GDP

  • expected is +6.7% y/y
  • prior was +6.8% y/y
  • for the q/q, expected 1.7%, prior 1.7%
  • for the YTD y/y, expected 6.8%, prior 6.9%

December Industrial Production

  • expected is 6.1% y/y
  • prior was 6.1% y/y
  • For industrial production YTD y/y expected is 6.6%, prior was 6.6%

Fixed Assets (excluding rural) YTD y/y,

  • expected is 7.1%, prior was 7.2%

Retail Sales y/y,

  • expected is 10.2%
  • prior was 10.2%
  • For Retail Sales YTD y/y, expected is 10.3%, prior was 10.3%

I'll have previews of these coming soon

OK now, what else? ...

2130 GMT - Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve bank branch in Cleveland speaking. She will be discussing monetary policy communication in an event at Rutgers University from prepared text

  • followed by and Q&A with the audience
  • and then further a Q&A with media

2350 GMT - Japan - international securities flows

0000 GMT - Australia - consumer inflation expectations for January

  • prior 3.7%

0001 GMT - UK - RICS house price balance for December

  • expected -1%, prior 0%
  • Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) measures the net percentage of surveyors reporting a house price increase in their designated area

0030 GMT - Australia - jobs data for December

Employment Change

  • expected 15.0K, prior 61.6K

Unemployment Rate

  • expected 5.4%, prior 5.4%

Full Time Employment Change

  • prior was 41.9K

Part Time Employment Change

  • prior was 19.7K

Participation Rate

  • expected is 65.5%, prior was 65.5%

I'll have a preview (or a few ;-) ) to come on this separately

Also due at 0030 GMT - Reserve Bank of Australia transactions data for December. This is relevant when the Bank is intervening in the currency. But they aren't so it isn't, K?

0130 GMT - China property prices for December

Later ...

0430 GMT - Japan - November final industrial production