Results of the Q3 2017 ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters 21 July

  • HICP inflation expectations have been revised downwards for 2017, 2018 and 2019. Longer-term HICP inflation expectations remain unchanged at 1.8%.
  • Expectations for HICP excluding food and energy have been revised upwards for 2017, but remained unchanged for forecast horizons further out.
  • Real GDP growth expectations have been revised upwards for 2017, 2018 and 2019.
  • Unemployment rate expectations have been revised downwards.

Full results here

EURUSD currently steady at 1.1645 after the retreat from 1.1677. EURGBP finding demand/support into 0.8950 and helping to push GBPUSD a little lower again.