I've posted up a few previews of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting:

Here is a quickie, this time from JPM:

  • We expect no change in the funds rate target
  • And no change in balance sheet policy
  • We think there is a ~20% chance for the Fed to begin the balance sheet normalization process at the July meeting
  • The policy guidance will likely signal an inclination to begin the normalization process in September but we don't anticipate changes to the Fed Funds outlook
  • We expect the statement will sound more upbeat on the labor market, about similarly confident on growth, but more cautious on inflation

--

ps. The announcement from the FOMC will come at 1800GMT. I'd really like it to take the form of Janet Yellen screaming "NOTHING!!!" but it probably won't.

  • At this meeting there is no 'Summary of Economic Projections' update issued
  • Nor is there a press conference by Yellen