A preview of the US CPI report due Thursday 14 September 2017 for GS
We and consensus expect a 0.20% increase in August core CPI (mom sa), which would leave the year-over-year rate unchanged at 1.7%
- We estimate a 0.36% increase in headline CPI, primarily reflecting higher energy prices, implying a two-tenths increase to 1.9% in the year-over-year rate
- With the low market expectations on the back of recent inflation weakness, we think the risks to US inflation swaps are skewed to the upside
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I posted a preview of this report a little earlier too: