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German July retail sales weaker than expected

Have come in -0.3% m/m, +0.8% y/y,  demonstrably weaker than median forecasts of +0.5%, +1.4% respectively.

By Gerry Davies  || September 1, 2010 at 06:05 GMT
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German August s.a jobless total -17,000

Pretty much in line with median forecast of -20k. Unemployment rate 7.6%, unchanged from July and as expected.

By Gerry Davies  || August 31, 2010 at 07:59 GMT
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German Ifo institute business climate index 106.7

Better than median forecast of 105.7.

EUR/USD has spiked higher, presently at 1.2720. Earlier had been receiving reports of sell orders at 1.2720/30.

Ifo’s Abberger:

  • Growth rates in 2010 first half can not be sustained but no cooling in second half
  • Germany will be affected in 2011 if US, Asia slip into recession
  • Germany will have slight growth in consumption for full year 2010
  • Possible risks for German growth are mainly from abroad
  • No reason for any changes in interest rate policies at moment
By Gerry Davies  || August 25, 2010 at 08:08 GMT
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German GDP Q2 (final) +2.2% q/q, +4.1% y/y

No change from previous estimate and as expected.

EUR/USD steady in early European trade, presently at 1.2635. Earlier Sean reported buy orders, including sovereign interest, lying down at 1.2600/15.

By Gerry Davies  || August 24, 2010 at 06:04 GMT
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Germany propels growth in Euro Zone

Exports help bloc notch 3.9% expansion pace, but economists say rise is unsustainable.  WSJ article.

By Gerry Davies  || August 15, 2010 at 08:52 GMT
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German EconMin: Industry output made important contribution to Q2 economic growth

  • Improved orders situation means industry should continue to drive recovery in coming months

Don’t panic!!!

By Gerry Davies  || August 6, 2010 at 10:16 GMT
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German June industry output weaker than expected

Infact quite a bit weaker; -0.6% m/m compared to median forecast of +0.7%

EUR/USD hits session low 1.3166.

By Gerry Davies  || August 6, 2010 at 10:04 GMT
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French July final manufacturing PMI 53.9

From flash 53.7.

German July final manufacturing PMI 61.2, unchanged from flash estimate.

By Gerry Davies  || August 2, 2010 at 07:55 GMT
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Germany’s Merkel: Economic recovery is strong

  • Confidence in banking sector must be created through stress tests
  • Labour market situation is better now than before the crisis
  • Budget consolidation will be carried out as planned

I like Angela.

By Gerry Davies  || July 21, 2010 at 09:39 GMT
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German Q2 growth in GDP likely “significantly stronger” than Q1 GDP growth – FinMin monthly report

  • Recovery likely to strengthen in second half of 2010
  • Outlook for further rise in German exports good
  • Positive development in industrial demand points to continuing upward trend in output in months ahead
  • Private consumption likely remained weak in Q2, but to pick up in course of year
  • Labour market unlikely to deteriorate now given improvement in economic indicators
  • Consumer prices to develop “calmly” over course of year
By Gerry Davies  || July 19, 2010 at 06:10 GMT
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