That's the expectation from Westpac.

  • EUR/USD looks set to breach its recent range (1.17-1.22) resistance
  • ECB officials are likely to voice concern in order to dampen moves above 1.22

Further from WPAC:

  • EU quarterly economic forecasts ... lifts in growth for both 2021 and 2022 from their Winter profile (4.2% from 3.7% and 4.4% from 3.7% respectively).
  • The uplift is due to the now successful regional covid vaccine rollout and expectations for easing of the majority of COVID-19restrictions during H2 2021.
  • ECB officials have also stressed the flexibility of PEPP purchases, the pace of which was increased into the current quarter and now looks set to slow into mid-year as full ratification of the Recovery Fund appears imminent, given the EC summits

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Meanwhile, EUR/USD is not doing much at all during the timezone here, awaiting the US retails sales data Friday it would seem.