Federal Reserve meeting minutes:

  • Most judged level now appropriate barring a 'material' reassessment of the outlook
  • 'A couple' said Fed should reinforce statement with communications that another rate cut unlikely without signs of a 'significant slowdown'
  • Many said rate cut warranted due to global weakness and trade uncertainty
  • Some favored keeping rates steady and argued outlook was favorable and inflation expected to rise
  • A couple supported rate cut but said it was a close call
  • Several concerned some banks had reduced capital buffers when the should be rising
  • Discussed that risks to the economic outlook remained tilted to the downside

This has all been well-communicated by the Fed since the meeting. The question I have is how willing they will be to hike rates if there is a China trade deal and some good growth next year. What I heard from Powell was that they're not going to be hiking for a long time even if there is high inflation but I'm not sure if that was a slip or a signal.