What are the odds of a hike?
Fed:
Aug 1 - 2.3%
Sept 26 - 78%
ECB:
July 27 - neglible
June 2019 - 22%
BOE:
Aug 2 - 85% (vs 89% before today's inflation data)
13% chance of a second hike before year end
BOC:
Sept 5 - 7.5%
Oct 24 - 50%
RBA:
9.5% chance of a hike before year end
RBNZ:
6.5% chance of a cut before year end
BOJ:
15% chance of a 10 bps hike before year end