• Japan GDP may have contracted in Q4 last year, but that was likely temporary dip
  • Japan likely to continue moderate recovery this year on solid growth in emerging markets
  • Delay in US job, housing market recovery, Europe debt woes are risks to Japan economy
  • Instability in global economy may effect Japan economy, including through forex markets
  • Cannot rule out risk of US economy slipping into deflation
  • Optimistic that China can achieve a soft landing in its economy
  • Japan economy likely to grow above 3% in year ending March
  • Likely to grow 1-2% in year beginning in April