• Missing fiscal targets, reform delays, GDP fall have undercut previous debt sustainability assessment; October 26 debt deal is country’s “last opportunity”
  • Greece must choose between “uncontrolled downward trajectory” outside euro zone or “all-out effort” to fix economy within euro
  • New govt must restore confidence, urges political parties to cooperate more than they have so far
  • Sees Greek economy shrinking by 5.5% or more in 2011, by 2.8% in 2012, GDP to grow by up to 1% in 2013
  • Forecasts unemployment rate will hit nearly 17% in 2011, may exceed 18% in 2012
  • Greek economy will regain in 2010-2012 three fifths of the cost competitiveness it has lost in 2001-2009
  • Banks must merge into bigger entities, may have to boost capital after ongoing checks on their loan portfolios are completed
  • Central bank has provided exceptional funding to banks since August to compensate for deposit withdrawals, decline in collateral value
  • Country must “at all costs” create priomary market budget surpluses, speed up economic recovery