The latest survey of economists by the Wall Street Journal is in:

  • 72% said the Fed's first rate increase will come in September
  • 3% for June
  • 3% predict July
  • 5% predicted October
  • 9% for December
  • 8% say 2016

(I can't believe the number is 0% for those who said "Stop bothering me")

They also have a nifty pic showing how expectations have changed over time:

More at the ungated article