We’ve had some more polls out o/n and although they’re tight all three show a narrow lead for the No camp
- The first poll of the evening, a ICM poll for the Scotsman, showed ‘No’ on 52% and ‘Yes’ on 48%. The headline numbers showed Yes on 41%, No on 45%, with 14% still undecided.
- Opinium for the Daily Telegraph also had a 52/48 split in favour of the No camp
- Survation for the Scottish Daily Mail too had the ‘No’ camp holding a 52% to 48% lead when undecided voters were stripped out.
With the exception of the online poll conducted by ICM at the weekend, all the recent surveys are pointing to a narrow lead in the region of 4% for the ‘No’ campaign. The margin of error for polls is normally 2-3% and with around 10% of voters still undecided it’s still too close to call
The pound has found some comfort from the polls and we’ve now seen GBPUSD break up through recent highs to post 1.6289 but with more offers at 1.6300-10 still to be really tested.
Having posted 0.8010 yesterday we’re now back testing a few a bids at 0.7950 again on EURGBP
Expect more two-way business as the vote gets underway tomorrow
