Bullard: Inflation below 1% would likely prompt FOMC action.

He didn’t specify which inflation measure he was referring to or what timeline but here’s PCE core y/y.

PCE core y/y

PCE core y/y

Other measures also don’t leave much room for error:

  • PCE deflator 0.9% y/y
  • CPI 1.1% y/y
  • CPI ex-food and energy 1.6% y/y