• Possibility of meeting forward guidance threshold early not a trigger for raising rates
  • Forwards guidance gives UK understanding, businesses understand it, without it markets would be worrying about rising interest rates
  • Businesses understand that the MPC won’t undermine the recovery
  • Wages will be determined by productivity, still plenty of slack to be taken up
  • “There’s a lot of slack”

BOE’s Dale on wage inflation

  • Previous private surveys have overstated wage rises
  • Only when wages rises exceed productivity will it become a concern
  • We will react if we see inflation expectations pick up
  • Predicting unemployment levels with precision is difficult