ECB releases the results of its latest survey of professional forecasters

  • 2019 inflation seen at 1.2% (previously 1.3%)
  • 2020 inflation seen at 1.2% (previously 1.4%)
  • 2021 inflation seen at 1.4% (previously 1.5%)
  • 2019 real GDP growth seen at 1.1% (previously 1.2%)
  • 2020 real GDP growth seen at 1.0% (previously 1.3%)
  • 2021 real GDP growth seen at 1.3% (previously 1.4%)

The prior forecast survey can be found here. Cuts across the board in the latest survey and that just reaffirms the deteriorating outlook towards the Eurozone economy.

Of note, long-term core inflation projections got slashed again to 1.6% from 1.7% in the July survey and that is the weakest forecast reading on record in the survey's history.

If anything else, it just reaffirms the negative sentiment that economists/markets are getting about the euro area as we head into 2020.