But says employment remains strong

Kashkari of the Minneapolis Fed

Minneapolis Fed Pres. Neel Kashkari speaking at a town hall meeting is saying:

  • Outlook for US economy is mixed, but jobs remain strong
  • we are seeing wages slowly start to pick up
  • Investment slowing, we seeing signs of slower hiring
  • US exporters are nervous about trade war
  • He argued for a steeper rate cut at the last FOMC (so is likely one of the 7 members who sees a 25 bp cut between now and the end of the year).
  • does not see the recent repo strength as a big problem
  • if US goes beyond maximum employment, inflation will rise above 2%
  • US is a long way from the labor market leading to 2% inflation
  • Thinks the Fed would not turn to QE until short-term rates were cut zero
  • inverted yield curve is a concerning signal even though he's not forecasting a recession

Kashkari is not a voting member of the FOMC this year but will be in 2020