Kashkari speaks at the NY Economic Club

Minneapolis Fed president Neil Kashkari is speaking at the year at economic club. He tends to be more dovish.

He is saying that

  • the real unemployment rate is 9.1%
  • The Fed will not raise rates preemptively
  • Expects inflation to rise in 2021, but the rise to be temporary
  • he is confident the Fed can most inflation in the short term, but keep long-run inflation expectations anchored
  • Biggest risk is the Covid variants
  • the Fed would have to tap breaks if higher government debt resulted in inflation, but doesn't see that in the immediate future
  • US has a lot of debt capacity

The comments are largely in line with the thoughts of the chair and other Fed members.