FOMC statement highlights:

  • Winter slowdown partly reflects 'transitory factors'
  • Household spending growth fell, real incomes rose strongly
  • Below-goal inflation partly reflects falling import prices
  • Energy, import-price effects on inflation to be transitory
  • Repeats it wants to be reasonably confident on inflation
  • Repeats it sees inflation rising toward 2% in medium term
  • Job gains moderated, labor slack little changed
  • Business investment softened, exports declined
  • No comments on the dollar

Quick take: There's nothing surprisingly dovish here. The Fed is still optimistic, that's good for the dollar.

There is nothing touching on a hike being 'unlikely' at the June meeting, so it's a live meeting but no one is expecting in then; it comes down to the data.

Reminder, there are no forecasts at this meeting and no press conference.