Powell is coming up next

The market is looking for some kind of hint at a pause. If there's even a shred of anything dovish it's going to be in the headlines.

However I'd bet that the speech reiterates all the same themes we've heard from the Fed recently and from Clarida yesterday:

  • Employment market is strong

  • Economy is robust

  • Wages are picking up

  • Downside risks are diminished

  • Gradual hike path will continue

The market is dying to get something dovish but I think it will be caught wrong footed and the US dollar, and equity markets (especially) are vulnerable.

However heading into the speech, US equity shorts appear to be covering, with the index near the highs of the day.

Watch the speech live here.