Hardly surprising given the shift this week. TD now think the Reserve Bank of Australia will hike later, in May 2020
- TD were previously at November 2019
Citing:
- RBA Statement on Monetary Policy provided justification for the Governor's unexpectedly downbeat speech on Wednesday
- Growth wasn't just shaved down to 3%, it was slashed across the board
- Trade-war-related downside risks have escalated
- the impact of the house price decline on the broader economy has morphed from "manageable" to being a downside risk to growth this year and next
- The forthcoming election in May, and the potential impact on activity before and after this period, has not explicitly been incorporated into the Bank's outlook
- the RBA has switched from glass-half-full to listing a litany of global and domestic downside risks to the economy