Weekend China press hints at currency intervention

Author: Eamonn Sheridan | Category: Central Banks

The Global Times, admittedly a fairly strident sort of source ….

But the concerns they express on the impact of a rapidly falling yuan are those we've been aware of and highlighting since the trade war took a turn for the worse in the recent week or so.

The piece is titled: Defending exchange rate China's top priority
Begins with some background (do note this is from China's perspective):
  • US-China trade talks haven't broken down
  • negotiations appear to have ground to a halt 
  • there remain three core concerns of China that must be addressed. The first is to remove all the additional tariffs, which must be totally revoked if the two sides are to reach a deal. The second is that the amount of purchases should be realistic. The two sides reached consensus on the volume in Argentina and should not change it spontaneously. The third is to improve the balance of the wording of the text. Every country has its dignity, and the text must be balanced.

And goes on (bolding mine … to add to the stridency :-D ):
  • The biggest challenge facing China in the future comes from the exchange rate problem, and it is necessary to be prepared for the upcoming war defending the yuan exchange rate
  • It can even be said that no other problems are important compared with the exchange rate issue.
  • The most worrying issue is the yuan exchange rate. Once the yuan continues its depreciation against the dollar, it will trigger a series of chain reactions. Currency depreciation leads to asset price drops, which prompts capital flight overseas. Intensified capital flight will continue to weaken the yuan, which inevitably dents China's foreign reserves. If such a vicious cycle takes shape, it will have a broad impact on China's financial market, asset market and real economy.
Full article is here from the weekend

Offshore yuan:

offshore yuan cnh chart china trade war

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