What have the numbers shown so far

  • Empire Fed -8.6 vs +11.0 expected and +17.8 prior
  • Dallas Fed -12.1 vs -2.0 expected and -5.3 prior
  • Richmond Fed +3 vs +2 expected and +5 prior
  • KC Fed 0 vs +4 prior
  • Philly Fed +0.3 vs +10.4 expected and +16.6 prior
  • Chicago PMI 49.7 vs 53.5 expected and 54.2 prior

The consensus on the ISM manufacturing survey today is 51.0, down from 52.1 but I'd guess the market is right at 50.0.