Economist poll
Odds of a disorderly Brexit at 23% versus 25% in Dec poll
EU-UK free trade agreement is most likely eventual outcome
Bank of England to hike in Q3 (vs Q2 in prior poll)
I think the poll just underscores how unlikely it is that May succeeds tomorrow. However, there is a chance and it might be higher than 10%.
It all begs the question: What's priced in?
You have to assume that her losing is priced in so it's a question of: by how much. If it's close she could make some tweaks and get it through. Even if she loses by 40-50 votes should could still find a way.
However if she loses by 70-80 votes then it's going to be a real problem to flip enough votes.
