Updated projections from National Australia Bank for the Australian dollar

  • 0.74 by year end
  • 0.77 by June 2021
  • 0.80 by June 2022 and to peak there

Citing

  • weak USD and to continue
  • fair value for AUD has been pushed up
  • improvement in risk sentiment
  • improvement in key commodity price drivers
  • Looking further ahead, better real interest rates and terms of trade are AUD supportive

Risk:

  • geopolitical developments
  • U.S. elections