As per expectations

The BOC has kept rates unchanged at 1.25% as per expectations.

However, they did drop reference to being "cautious" on rates.

  • Higher rates will be needed to keep inflation near target
  • Removes language on need for "monetary policy accommodation"
  • Will take a gradual approach to policy adjustment
  • Gradual approach will be guided by incoming data
  • Will keep assessing economy's sensitivity to rate movements
  • will look through transitory impact of gas price changes
  • Inflation likely to be a bit higher in the near term
  • Goods exports were more robust than forecast
  • Housing market continues to adjust, resales soft into 2Q
  • Solid wage growth signals housing will pick up in 2018
  • Consumption will contribute importantly to 2018 growth
  • 1Q activity appears a little stronger than projected.

The USDCAD has moved sharply lower on the changes. The pair is moving below the 200 hour MA now at 1.29049 and below the 50% of the move up from the May 22 low at 1.2894. The low just printed 1.2882. The 200 hour MA will now be eyed as close risk.