China Q1 GDP: 7.4% y/y (vs. expected +7.3%) (came out early … so who was ready?)

  • Slowest rate since the third quarter of 2012
  • Second straight quarterly slowdown
  • But a beat of expectations
  • +1.4% from the previous quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis
  • Annualized q/q growth has slowed to 5.7% (yuck)
  • China revises Q4 q/q growth rate to 1.7% from 1.8%
  • Revises Q3 to 2.3% from 2.2%

From the Chinese statistics bureau, the National Bureau of Statistics of China, comments:

  • Says the economy is in a reasonable range, but under pressure
  • Q1 GDP growth rate within target zone of about 7.5%
  • Q1 employment, income data showed that growth is ‘not bad’
  • Internal survey shows stable employment
  • China jobs, income show reasonable growth in Q1
  • Says China economy is moving in the expected direction, stabilising trend not changed

This is China GDP QoQ Seasonally adjusted:

China GDP QoQ Seasonally adjusted 16 April 2014

This is China GDP YoY:

China GDP YoY 16 April 2014

China March Industrial Production: 8.8% y/y (expected +9.0%)

  • miss

China March Retail Sales: 12.2% y/y (vs. expected +12.1%)

  • beat

China March Fixed Assets (excluding rural) YTD: 17.6% y/y (vs. expected +18.0%)

  • miss