What to look out for at 0200 GMT

Citi Research discusses its expectations for this weekend's Xi-Trump meeting and for tonight's RBNZ June policy meeting.

G20 - "This week's focus will turn to the G20 meet between Presidents Trump and Xi. Citi's base case is for a US-China handshake but risk of tariffs remain," Citi projects.

RBNZ meeting - "Citi analysts expect RBNZ to keep the OCR unchanged at 1.50% this week but retain the option of future cuts. Dovish concerns are driven by the global outlook but domestic activity remains solid with "employment near its maximum sustainable level". The policy statement could conclude by saying "we will keep OCR expansionary for a considerable period to contribute to maximizing sustainable employment and maintaining low and stable inflation," Citi adds.

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