Citi on the various factors leading to the sell off in bond markets in the past couple of weeks.

Take yer pick ... "Probably has multiplicative causes including

  • Higher oil prices
  • Earlier monetary easing outside the US
  • The bursting of a mini bubble in Bund
  • Reversion to type in the way QE impacts yields"

Their outlook:

  • Overall, we are inclined to see a buying opportunity in US Treasuries
  • Expect narrower UST-Bund spreads .... 10y UST yields are 30-35bp higher than in late April and 55bp off this year's low."