A quickie via Nomura, looking for a lower USD, their recommendation to sell it against the yen and the EUR (ie long EUR/USD)

  • Nomura targets USD/JPY falling to 102, place a stop loss at 111
  • The bank targets EUR/USD to 1.20, stop at 1.12

Citing/reasoning:

  • many of the supportive dollar factors are fading
  • US relative growth outperformance likely behind us

Risk to trades:

  • risk for Fed hike expectations to return, would be a positive for the US dollar