• Lower than anticipated defense spending, weaker exports, weather constraining factors
  • Sees growth of 2% or below; slowdown transitory
  • Recovery moderate; believes it is sustainable
  • Would like to see more job creation
  • Timing of tightening unclear
  • Extended period means “a couple of meetings”, at least
  • Fed believes a strong stable dollar in US interests and interests of global economy
  • Strong economy will help dollar; boosting economy will boost dollar
  • dollar fluctuates; safe-haven flows drove dollar higher, falling as that is unwound
  • Keeping inflation low. strengthening economy will help over medium-term
  • Gasoline prices have risen quite significantly; creating financial hardship
  • Gas adds to inflation but creates a drag on growth; blames global demand for higher prices
  • All additional demand over last decade has come from emerging markets; supply disruptions helping raise prices; a very adverse development; accounts for most of hike in inflation outlook;fed can’t create more oil
  • Fed can attempt to keep gas prices from being passed through to other prices
  • Labor market improving gradually; pace quite slow; labor market obviously not in good shape
  • Some inflation expectations have risen; medium-term expectations have not moved very much
  • No substitute for action if expectations move markedly
  • Will do what is necessary to keep inflation low and stable
  • End of QE2 to have much impact on financial markets; anticipated by markets
  • So long as Fed maintains portfolio, impact should remain constant
  • Stop reinvesting maturing securities would be a policy tightening