What does option positioning tell us
Bank of America Global Research tracks how option investors have traded so far in 2021.
"G4: near-term bullish EUR, bearish JPY and CHF
From May to July, option investors have significantly more amount of unexpired calls than puts in EURUSD, their conviction in near-term strength for EUR (Exhibit 16). In contrast, option investors are positioned for more USDJPY and USDCHF calls than puts this month," BofA notes.
"G10 "high-beta" pairs: bullish AUD and NZD, moderately bearish CAD
Near-term open interest remain constructive for AUD and NZD (Exhibit 17), as shown by the amount of unexpired calls versus puts for AUD and NZD against USD. On the other hand, unexpired contracts are moderately bearish CAD," BofA adds.
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